"Does growing economic interdependence among great powers increase or decrease the chance of conflict and war? Liberals argue that the benefits of trade give states an incentive to stay peaceful. Realists contend that trade compels states to struggle for vital raw materials and markets. Moving beyond the stale liberal-realist debate, Economic Interdependence and War lays out a dynamic theory of expectations that shows under what specific conditions interstate commerce will reduce or heighten the risk of conflict between nations. Taking a broad look at cases spanning two centuries, from the Napoleonic and Crimean wars to the more recent Cold War crises, Dale Copeland demonstrates that when leaders have positive expectations of the future trade environment, they want to remain at peace in order to secure the economic benefits that enhance long-term power. When, however, these expectations turn negative, leaders are likely to fear a loss of access to raw materials and markets, giving them more incentive to initiate crises to protect their commercial interests. The theory of trade expectations holds important implications for the understanding of Sino-American relations since 1985 and for the direction these relations will likely take over the next two decades. Economic Interdependence and War offers sweeping new insights into historical and contemporary global politics and the actual nature of democratic versus economic peace"-- Provided by publisher

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Dale C. Copeland

Princeton University, Department of Art & Archaeology

Oxford University Press

Princeton Electronic

Princeton studies in international history and politics, Princeton, New Jersey, 2014

Princeton studies in international history and politics, Princeton, New Jersey, 2015

Book collections on Project MUSE, Princeton, New Jersey, 2015

Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, 2014

United States, United States of America

degruyter.com

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Does Growing Economic Interdependence Among Great Powers Increase Or Decrease The Chance Of Conflict And War? Liberals Argue That The Benefits Of Trade Give States An Incentive To Stay Peaceful. Realists Contend That Trade Compels States To Struggle For Vital Raw Materials And Markets. Moving Beyond The Stale Liberal-realist Debate, Economic Interdependence And War Lays Out A Dynamic Theory Of Expectations That Shows Under What Specific Conditions Interstate Commerce Will Reduce Or Heighten The Risk Of Conflict Between Nations.taking A Broad Look At Cases Spanning Two Centuries, From The Napoleonic And Crimean Wars To The More Recent Cold War Crises, Dale Copeland Demonstrates That When Leaders Have Positive Expectations Of The Future Trade Environment, They Want To Remain At Peace In Order To Secure The Economic Benefits That Enhance Long-term Power. When, However, These Expectations Turn Negative, Leaders Are Likely To Fear A Loss Of Access To Raw Materials And Markets, Giving Them More Incentive To Initiate Crises To Protect Their Commercial Interests. The Theory Of Trade Expectations Holds Important Implications For The Understanding Of Sino-american Relations Since 1985 And For The Direction These Relations Will Likely Take Over The Next Two Decades. Economic Interdependence And War Offers Sweeping New Insights Into Historical And Contemporary Global Politics And The Actual Nature Of Democratic Versus Economic Peace-- Theory Of Economic Interdependence And War -- Quantitative Analysis And Qualitative Case Study Research -- The Russo-japanese War And The German Wars For Hegemony, 1890-1939 -- The Prelude To Pearl Harbor : Japanese Security And The Northern Question, 1905-40 -- The Russian Problem And The Onset Of The Pacific War, March-december 1941 -- The Origins, Dynamics, And Termination Of The Cold War, 1942-91 -- European Great Power Politics, 1790-1854 -- Great Power Politics In The Age Of Imperial Expansion, 1856-99 -- Implications Of The Argument. Dale C. Copeland. Includes Bibliographical References And Index.

Does growing economic interdependence among great powers increase or decrease the chance of conflict and war? Liberals argue that the benefits of trade give states an incentive to stay peaceful. Realists contend that trade compels states to struggle for vital raw materials and markets. Moving beyond the stale liberal–realist debate, this book lays out a dynamic theory of expectations that shows under what specific conditions interstate commerce will reduce or heighten the risk of conflict between nations. Taking a broad look at cases spanning two centuries, from the Napoleonic and Crimean wars to the more recent Cold War crises, the book demonstrates that when leaders have positive expectations of the future trade environment, they want to remain at peace in order to secure the economic benefits that enhance long-term power. When, however, these expectations turn negative, leaders are likely to fear a loss of access to raw materials and markets, giving them more incentive to initiate crises to protect their commercial interests. The theory of trade expectations holds important implications for the understanding of Sino-American relations since 1985 and for the direction these relations will likely take over the next two decades. The book offers sweeping new insights into historical and contemporary global politics and the actual nature of democratic versus economic peace.

Contents
Preface
Abbreviations for Primary Documents and Source Material
INTRODUCTION
CHAPTER ONE. Theory of Economic Interdependence and War
CHAPTER TWO. Quantitative Analysis and Qualitative Case Study Research
CHAPTER THREE. The Russo-Japanese War and the German Wars for Hegemony, 1890–1939
CHAPTER FOUR. The Prelude to Pearl Harbor: Japanese Security and the Northern Question, 1905–40
CHAPTER FIVE. The Russian Problem and the Onset of the Pacific War, March−December 1941
CHAPTER SIX. The Origins, Dynamics, and Termination of the Cold War, 1942–91
CHAPTER SEVEN. European Great Power Politics, 1790–1854
CHAPTER EIGHT. Great Power Politics in the Age of Imperial Expansion, 1856–99
CHAPTER NINE. Implications of the Argument
Bibliography
Index

2023-08-24