大国之间日益增长的经济相互依存性会增加还是减少冲突和战争的可能性?自由主义者认为,贸易的好处促使各国保持和平。现实主义者认为,贸易迫使各国为争夺重要的原材料和市场而斗争。超越陈腐的自由主义现实主义辩论,《经济相互依存与战争》提出了一种动态的预期理论,表明在何种特定条件下,州际贸易将减少或增加国家间冲突的风险。
从两个世纪以来的案例来看,从拿破仑战争和克里米亚战争到最近的冷战危机,戴尔·科普兰(Dale Copeland)表明,当领导人对未来的贸易环境抱有积极的期望时,他们希望保持和平,以确保增强长期实力的经济利益。然而,当这些预期转为负面时,领导人可能会担心失去获得原材料和市场的机会,从而更有动机引发危机,以保护他们的商业利益。贸易预期理论对1985年以来中美关系的理解以及未来二十年中美关系的发展方向具有重要意义。
经济相互依存和战争为历史和当代全球政治以及民主与经济和平的实际性质提供了全新的见解。

lgli/经济相互依赖与战争 (Economic Interdependence and War) 机翻双语.epub

lgrsnf/经济相互依赖与战争 (Economic Interdependence and War) 机翻双语.epub

zlib/no-category/戴尔·C·科普兰, Copeland, Dale C./经济相互依赖与战争 (Economic Interdependence and War) 机翻双语_23436407.epub

Economic Interdependence and War (Princeton Studies in International History and Politics Book 148)

Dale C. Copeland

Princeton University, Department of Art & Archaeology

Oxford University Press

Princeton Electronic

Princeton studies in international history and politics, Princeton, New Jersey, 2014

Princeton studies in international history and politics, Princeton, New Jersey, 2015

Book collections on Project MUSE, Princeton, New Jersey, 2015

United States, United States of America

1, PS, 2014

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Does Growing Economic Interdependence Among Great Powers Increase Or Decrease The Chance Of Conflict And War? Liberals Argue That The Benefits Of Trade Give States An Incentive To Stay Peaceful. Realists Contend That Trade Compels States To Struggle For Vital Raw Materials And Markets. Moving Beyond The Stale Liberal-realist Debate, Economic Interdependence And War Lays Out A Dynamic Theory Of Expectations That Shows Under What Specific Conditions Interstate Commerce Will Reduce Or Heighten The Risk Of Conflict Between Nations.taking A Broad Look At Cases Spanning Two Centuries, From The Napoleonic And Crimean Wars To The More Recent Cold War Crises, Dale Copeland Demonstrates That When Leaders Have Positive Expectations Of The Future Trade Environment, They Want To Remain At Peace In Order To Secure The Economic Benefits That Enhance Long-term Power. When, However, These Expectations Turn Negative, Leaders Are Likely To Fear A Loss Of Access To Raw Materials And Markets, Giving Them More Incentive To Initiate Crises To Protect Their Commercial Interests. The Theory Of Trade Expectations Holds Important Implications For The Understanding Of Sino-american Relations Since 1985 And For The Direction These Relations Will Likely Take Over The Next Two Decades. Economic Interdependence And War Offers Sweeping New Insights Into Historical And Contemporary Global Politics And The Actual Nature Of Democratic Versus Economic Peace-- Theory Of Economic Interdependence And War -- Quantitative Analysis And Qualitative Case Study Research -- The Russo-japanese War And The German Wars For Hegemony, 1890-1939 -- The Prelude To Pearl Harbor : Japanese Security And The Northern Question, 1905-40 -- The Russian Problem And The Onset Of The Pacific War, March-december 1941 -- The Origins, Dynamics, And Termination Of The Cold War, 1942-91 -- European Great Power Politics, 1790-1854 -- Great Power Politics In The Age Of Imperial Expansion, 1856-99 -- Implications Of The Argument. Dale C. Copeland. Includes Bibliographical References And Index.

"Does growing economic interdependence among great powers increase or decrease the chance of conflict and war? Liberals argue that the benefits of trade give states an incentive to stay peaceful. Realists contend that trade compels states to struggle for vital raw materials and markets. Moving beyond the stale liberal-realist debate, Economic Interdependence and War lays out a dynamic theory of expectations that shows under what specific conditions interstate commerce will reduce or heighten the risk of conflict between nations. Taking a broad look at cases spanning two centuries, from the Napoleonic and Crimean wars to the more recent Cold War crises, Dale Copeland demonstrates that when leaders have positive expectations of the future trade environment, they want to remain at peace in order to secure the economic benefits that enhance long-term power. When, however, these expectations turn negative, leaders are likely to fear a loss of access to raw materials and markets, giving them more incentive to initiate crises to protect their commercial interests. The theory of trade expectations holds important implications for the understanding of Sino-American relations since 1985 and for the direction these relations will likely take over the next two decades. Economic Interdependence and War offers sweeping new insights into historical and contemporary global politics and the actual nature of democratic versus economic peace"-- Provided by publisher

封面
扉页
版权页面
内容
前言
缩写
介绍
第一章:经济相互依赖和战争理论
第二章:定量分析和定性案例研究
第三章:日俄战争和德国霸权战争,1890-1939
第四章:珍珠港事件的序幕:日本安全和北方问题,1905-40
第五章:俄罗斯问题和太平洋战争的爆发,1941年3月至12月
第六章:冷战的起源、动力和终结,1942-91
第七章:欧洲大国政治,1790-1854
第八章:帝国扩张时代的大国政治,1856-99
第九章:论点的含义
文献学
索引

2022-10-31