Taking Chances : Winning with Probability 🔍
Haigh, John, Dr
Oxford University Press, U.S.A., Oxford University Press USA, Oxford, 1999
英语 [en] · PDF · 18.1MB · 1999 · 📗 未知类型的图书 · 🚀/ia · Save
描述
What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on'Who Wants to be a Millionaire?'and'The Weakest Link', plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers.
备选作者
John Haigh, Dr
备用出版商
Oxford ; New York: Oxford University Press
备用出版商
IRL Press at Oxford University Press
备用出版商
Oxford Institute for Energy Studies
备用出版商
German Historical Institute London
备用出版商
OXFORD PUBLISHING GROUP
备用出版商
OUP Oxford
备用版本
United Kingdom and Ireland, United Kingdom
备用版本
Oxford University Press USA, Oxford, 2003
备用版本
New ed., Oxford, New York, England, 2003
备用版本
New edition, Oxford ; New York, 2003
备用版本
Oxford, New York, England, 1999
备用版本
REV. ED., OXFORD, Unknown
备用版本
OPB repr, Oxford, 2000
备用版本
Reprint, PT, 2003
备用版本
August 17, 2000
备用版本
Reprint, 2005
备用版本
1999-01-01
备用版本
1, 1999
元数据中的注释
Includes bibliographical references (p. [366]-368) and index.
元数据中的注释
Includes bibliographical references (p. [324]-326) and index.
备用描述
"What are the odds against winning the Lotto, The Weakest Link, or Who Wants to be a Millionaire? The answer lies in the science of probability, yet many of us are unaware of how this science works. Every day, people make judgements on a wide variety of situations where chance plays a role, including buying insurance, betting on horse-racing, following medical advice - even carrying an umbrella. In Taking Chances, John Haigh guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better-informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on top television shows, plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers."--Jacket
备用描述
<p><p>an Easy-to-read, Fun Look At Some Common Probability Traps And Fallacies And How They Can Be Used To Put The Odds In The Reader's Favor. Written By A Math Expert, Who Uses Real-life Examples That Can Be Understood By General Readers, <b>taking Chances: Winning With Probability</b> Shows How To Make Better Betting Decisions In Such Games Of Chance As: Lotteries, Football Pools, Dice, Roulette, Card Games, Tv Game Shows, Horse Racing, And Betting With Bookies. It Will Interest All Those Who Are Interested In Gaining The Extra Advantage When It Comes To Winning The Lottery, Making Money In The Casino, Winning The Football Pool, Or Backing The Right Horse.</p>
备用描述
This fun and easy-to-read book examines common probability traps and fallacies and how they can be used to put the odds in the reader's favor. Written by a math expert, who uses real-life examples that can be understood by general readers, Taking Chances: Winning with Probability shows how to make better betting decisions in all games of chance, including dice, roulette, television game shows, and betting with bookies. Appropriate for a wide range of readers, this book will appeal to all those who are interested in gaining the extra advantage when it comes to winning the lottery, making money in the casino, winning the football pool or backing the right horse.
备用描述
Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyzes a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, T.V. games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favor. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire? " and "The Weakest Link", plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers.
备用描述
"Taking Chances presents an entertaining and accessible guide that aims to help the reader to improve their ability to work with probabilities. By describing and analysing a wide range of situations in which chance plays a role, such as the lottery, football pools, roulette, and card games, the book guides the reader around many of the common pitfalls and controversies that surround probability."--BOOK JACKET.
备用描述
Every day people make judgements and face decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, playing the lottery, carrying an umbrella. This text presents an entertaining exploration of probability, revealing traps, fallacies and where the odds can be in your favour.
备用描述
xiv, 373 p. : 20 cm
Pregrado
Incluye referencias bibliográficas (p. [366]-368) e índice
Pregrado
Incluye referencias bibliográficas (p. [366]-368) e índice
开源日期
2023-10-09
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IA Record Scraped2023-06-28
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DDC519.2
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EBSCOhost eBook Index Accession Number518167
EBSCOhost eBook Index Subjectbisac/GAMES & ACTIVITIES / Gambling / General
EBSCOhost eBook Index Subjectbisac/MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General
EBSCOhost eBook Index Subjectunclass/Probabilities--Popular works
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Anna’s Archive Container identifier.
AacId:
aacid__worldcat__20250804T000000Z__mtkRGRjDvW7ivyfUNSNcNP
Anna’s Archive Container identifier.
AacId:
aacid__worldcat__20250804T000000Z__ndjby3swpAMPNK5rzoSP6j
Anna’s Archive Container identifier.
AA Record ID:
md5:66c74a09345dca5d09ed9381336071ab
Anna’s Archive record ID.
Collection:
ia
The collection on Anna’s Archive that provided data for this record.
URL: /datasets/ia
网站: /datasets
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“collection:ia”
Content Type:
book_unknown
Content type, determined by Anna’s Archive.
EBSCOhost eBook Index Source Scrape Date:
2024-08-23
Date Anna’s Archive scraped the EBSCOhost metadata.
网站: /datasets/edsebk
Google Books Source Scrape Date:
2024-09-20
Date Anna’s Archive scraped the Google Books collection.
网站: /datasets/gbooks
Goodreads Source Scrape Date:
2024-09-13
Date Anna’s Archive scraped the Goodreads collection.
IA File Scraped:
2023-10-09
Date Anna’s Archive scraped the file from the Internet Archive.
网站: /datasets/ia
IA Record Scraped:
2023-06-28
Date Anna’s Archive scraped the record from the Internet Archive.
网站: /datasets/ia
IA 'publicdate' Date:
2021-02-02
The 'publicdate' metadata field on the Internet Archive website, which usually indicates when they published the file, usually shortly after scanning.
网站: /datasets/ia
ISBNdb Scrape Date:
2022-09-01
The date that Anna’s Archive scraped this ISBNdb record.
网站: /datasets/isbndb
ISBN GRP Source Scrape Date:
2024-09-20
Date Anna’s Archive scraped the ISBN GRP collection.
OCLC Scrape Date:
2025-01-01
The date that Anna’s Archive scraped this OCLC/WorldCat record.
网站: /datasets/oclc
OpenLib 'created' Date:
2008-04-01
The 'created' metadata field on the Open Library, indicating when the first version of this record was created.
网站: /datasets/ol
EBSCOhost eBook Index Accession Number:
12398
ID in the EBSCOhost eBook Index (edsebk).
网站: /datasets/edsebk
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“edsebk:12398”
EBSCOhost eBook Index Accession Number:
518167
ID in the EBSCOhost eBook Index (edsebk).
网站: /datasets/edsebk
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“edsebk:518167”
EBSCOhost eBook Index Subject:
bisac/GAMES & ACTIVITIES / Gambling / General
Tag in EBSCOhost eBook Index.
网站: /datasets/edsebk
EBSCOhost eBook Index Subject:
bisac/MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General
Tag in EBSCOhost eBook Index.
网站: /datasets/edsebk
EBSCOhost eBook Index Subject:
unclass/Probabilities--Popular works
Tag in EBSCOhost eBook Index.
网站: /datasets/edsebk
Filepath:
ia/takingchanceswin0000haig_v6m1.pdf
Browse collections using their original file paths (particularly 'upload' is interesting)
Filesize:
18107214
Filesize in bytes.
Google Books:
Co40gLDOPuUC
网站: /datasets/gbooks
Google Books:
NGu7QgAACAAJ
网站: /datasets/gbooks
Google Books:
PTVoPwAACAAJ
网站: /datasets/gbooks
Google Books:
gN0oJlYKYQAC
网站: /datasets/gbooks
IA Collection:
internetarchivebooks
Internet Archive collection which this file is part of.
IA Collection:
printdisabled
Internet Archive collection which this file is part of.
ISBN GRP ID:
4a0bb04f1ebe7ccdabb2c16afe986bfc
ISBN GRP ID.
ISBN GRP ID:
7334bca9b72563548033b75007643845
ISBN GRP ID.
ISBN GRP ID:
ca7a3d4c2e95a2fb01e482ac73c063c8
ISBN GRP ID.
LCC:
QA273.15 .H35 1999
Library of Congress Classification
LCC:
QA273.15 .H35 1999eb
Library of Congress Classification
LCC:
QA273.15 .H35 2003
Library of Congress Classification
LCC:
QA273.15 .H35 2003eb
Library of Congress Classification
LCC:
QA273.15.H35 1999
Library of Congress Classification
LCC:
QA273.15.H35 2003
Library of Congress Classification
Library Thing:
122781
MD5:
66c74a09345dca5d09ed9381336071ab
IA:
takingchanceswin0000haig_v6m1
OCLC Editions:
1
Number of editions (unique OCLC IDs) reported by OCLC/WorldCat metadata. 'many' means 20 or more.
网站: /datasets/oclc
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“oclc_editions:1”
OCLC Editions:
14
Number of editions (unique OCLC IDs) reported by OCLC/WorldCat metadata. 'many' means 20 or more.
网站: /datasets/oclc
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“oclc_editions:14”
OCLC Editions (from search_holdings_all_editions_response):
14
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC Editions (from search_holdings_summary_all_editions):
1
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC Editions (from search_holdings_summary_all_editions):
14
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
2023_04_v3/1086/1086615846
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
2023_04_v3/4830/483045956
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
2023_04_v3/8169/81695352
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
2023_05_v4_type123/3804/380421044
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
2023_05_v4_type123/7197/71970064
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
2023_05_v4_type123/8927/892794241
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
2023_05_v4_type123/9080/908073673
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_editions_response/39671115
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_editions_response/49686723
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_editions_response/633759562
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_editions_response/867538192
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_editions_response/976747425
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_holdings_all_editions_response/2025-05-28_06.tar/1245808703
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_holdings_all_editions_response_type/1245808703
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_holdings_summary_all_editions/1245808703/index/58854135
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_holdings_summary_all_editions/39671115/index/5446984
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
search_holdings_summary_all_editions/474520444/index/20311644
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
t123/1360/1360514464
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
t123/9739/973954325
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
w2/v7/1030/1030895095
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
w2/v7/1203/1203834363
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
w2/v7/7524/752448454
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/003/0039671
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/004/0041019
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/004/0043070
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/004/0043718
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/005/0050999
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/005/0052644
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v3/0289/28906563
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v3/1022/102264949
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/0196/0196081628
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/1318/1318410234
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/3497/349795828
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/4724/4724321372
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/4809/480924906
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/5063/5063787072
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/6289/6289696317
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/7433/7433347202
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC 'From Filename':
worldcat_2022_09_titles_1_backup_2022_10_12/v6/9984/9984941985
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC Holdings:
1
Number of library holdings (for all editions) reported by OCLC/WorldCat metadata. 'many' means 20 or more.
网站: /datasets/oclc
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“oclc_holdings:1”
OCLC Holdings+Editions (to find rare books):
1/1
<number of oclc_holdings>/<number of oclc_editions>. If both numbers are low (but not zero) this might be a rare book.
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC Holdings (from search_holdings_all_editions_response):
0
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC Holdings (from search_holdings_summary_all_editions):
1
网站: /datasets/oclc
OCLC ISBNs+Holdings+Editions (to find rare books):
1/1/1
网站: /datasets/oclc
Open Library:
OL13608939W
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“ol:OL13608939W”
Open Library:
OL1959470W
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“ol:OL1959470W”
Open Library:
OL22527570M
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“ol:OL22527570M”
Open Library:
OL3702465M
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“ol:OL3702465M”
Open Library:
OL377040M
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“ol:OL377040M”
Open Library:
OL43583933M
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“ol:OL43583933M”
Open Library:
OL5322193W
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“ol:OL5322193W”
Open Library:
OL7399955M
代码浏览器: 在代码浏览器中查看“ol:OL7399955M”
Open Library Source Record:
OpenLibraries-Trent-MARCs/tier4.mrc:5089057:855
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
bwb:9780198502913
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
bwb:9780198502920
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
bwb:9780198526636
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
harvard_bibliographic_metadata/20220215_013.bib.mrc:256382381:2774
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
ia:takingchanceswin0000haig
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
ia:takingchanceswin0000haig_v6m1
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
marc_columbia/Columbia-extract-20221130-009.mrc:226500352:963
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
URL: https://openlibrary.org/show-records/marc_columbia/Columbia-extract-20221130-009.mrc:226500352:963
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
marc_columbia/Columbia-extract-20221130-009.mrc:261048682:4971
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
URL: https://openlibrary.org/show-records/marc_columbia/Columbia-extract-20221130-009.mrc:261048682:4971
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
marc_loc_2016/BooksAll.2016.part27.utf8:31067363:849
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
marc_loc_2016/BooksAll.2016.part30.utf8:221992072:876
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
marc_openlibraries_sanfranciscopubliclibrary/sfpl_chq_2018_12_24_run02.mrc:238574475:1961
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Open Library Source Record:
promise:bwb_daily_pallets_2020-11-19
The code for a source record that Open Library imported from.
网站: /datasets/ol
Server Path:
g3/ia2_acsmpdf_files/20231009/annas_archive_data__aacid__ia2_acsmpdf_files__20231009T034121Z--20231009T034122Z/aacid__ia2_acsmpdf_files__20231009T034121Z__bUj34azK9tXnfKeW4GgG5Q
Path on Anna’s Archive partner servers.
Torrent:
managed_by_aa/annas_archive_data__aacid/annas_archive_data__aacid__ia2_acsmpdf_files__20231009T034121Z--20231009T034122Z.torrent
Bulk torrent for long-term preservation.
网站: /torrents
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